Sunday, July 08, 2007

Scientific Polls in NH vs. Straw Polls in NH

Some interesting facts:

New Hampshire has approximately 267,000 registered Republicans.

1% of that number is 2670 people.

182 people voted for Ron Paul at the NH straw poll you've all seen reported.

That would seem to force us to conclude one of two things:

1. Nearly 10% of the total registered Republicans who support Ron Paul in the state of NH showed up to vote in the straw poll.

-Or-

2. The "scientific" polls in NH that put Paul down at around 1% or 2% are flawed in some way.

I find #1 really, really hard to believe.

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